10 single account employment estimates
Single-Account Employment Estimates
The standard estimation procedures used for singles are also employed by master accounts, when the worksites are delinquent. After the delinquent quarter checks (described in the Single/Master Employment Estimates sub-section) have been run, the estimation-eligible accounts go through the following procedure.
Employment estimates depend upon the presence of previous quarter employment in order to generate a current quarter estimation. Employers that have useable prior-quarter data will skip to the “Accounts with Prior Quarter Data” section, passing the next paragraphs that deal with prior-quarter-missing employers.
If the previous quarter shows an inactive status, but the current quarter’s total wage value is positive, a macro-based estimate is attempted. This method locates aggregate data for the same county, ownership, and NAICS code as the currently processed account. Only the year-ago, same quarter record is read. If macro data do not exist for this aggregate, the EMPC estimation failure code results (“estimation not possible since macro record is non-existent”). If the record does exist, however, the prior year employment and wage data are examined for a macro-level basis of estimation. Should either the employment or total wages of the macro record be zero, no estimate is possible; this produces the EMPD estimation failure code instead (“not estimated due to insufficient macro data”). Either of these failed estimate codes will also force the account’s estimation flag to an “F”, which will block further estimation attempts until the record’s data are modified (resetting the edit flag).
When the macro aggregated employment and wage values are both positive, the estimate is successful, applying the EMP6 estimation technique to any missing employment months. This method is formulated as:
MonX represents any of the three months that are missing, Mac identifies macro-level data, py specifies the prior year’s same quarter data, and Prorate denotes the quarter proration factor (the fraction of the quarter for which the account is active). As with other employment estimation methods, the placement of the MonX value is subject to the stipulations of the equations listed earlier. Once these values are computed, the estimation process is complete, except for the wrap-up procedure.
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